During the 24 weeks from March 24th 2023 to September 1st 2023 there were 32,130 registered deaths due to heart failure in England. In 2020 we had expected 25,512 heart failure deaths during the corresponding weeks, a difference of 6,618. If we extrapolate to 52 weeks then, at the prevailing rate, we’ll see 14,339 more deaths from heart failure in 2023 than we expected in 2020. To put this in some kind of perspective, that’s equivalent to the total number of deaths from all causes in Lancashire in any single year, or, if you’re not familiar with Lancashire, it’s about the same as the total number of deaths in Devon and Cornwall in a single year.
Deaths from heart failure over the past 24 weeks have been 26% higher than the expected level in 2020. The source of this rather alarming statistic is the latest report from the Department for Health Improvement and Disparities.
However, it doesn’t report it in quite the same way. It compares heart failure deaths in 2023 with ‘expected’ heart failure deaths for 2023, without mentioning that ‘expected’ heart failure deaths in 2023 are 8% higher than in 2020. Inflation affects heart failure deaths just as much as it does the pound in your pocket, it seems!