The 2022 North Atlantic hurricane season is drawing to a close, and all the evidence shows it is below average in the number of storms and overall ferocity. Unsurprisingly, the climate catastrophists have again been proved wrong in their forecasts. In May, the U.K. Met Office said the season was “most likely” to be above average. “What is interesting this year is that the forecasts issued by many different agencies are all indicating an above-average season. As they are all pointing in the same direction, this gives us a higher degree of confidence,” noted Julian Heming, said to be the Met Office’s expert on tropical cyclones.
The Met Office forecast 18 named tropical storms and four major hurricanes. According to data collected by tropical scientist Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University and quoted by Professor Roger Pielke, in 2022 there were 14 tropical storms and two major hurricanes. In an article headed “The 2022 Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Bust”, Prof. Pielke references the work of the Barcelona Supercomputing Centre that collected work from 29 organisations, “which allows a detailed analysis of just how wrong the community was in 2022”. Of the 19 organisations that issued forecasts last spring, 17 of them predicted an above-average frequency of ‘named storms’. By early summer, all 19 of these forecasts predicted an above-average season. Yet, according to Pielke, on most metrics the hurricane season was below average.
It’s only a climate model forecast, it might be said. But of course, in a political world where the weather is catastrophised on a daily basis, these predictions play an important part in promoting the command-and-control Net Zero agenda.
Earlier this year, the mainstream media were full of these groupthink reports forecasting a bad hurricane season. Inevitably, the finger was pointed at the suggestion that humans were responsible for the catastrophic weather events. Never slow to jump on a catastrophe bandwagon, the BBC reported the early forecasts, noting: “With another active season expected, many might question whether climate change has had a hand in this.”
The latest hurricane news caps a bad year for climate catastrophists. When it comes to making generalisations from single events, those who live by the sword, die by it as well. Arctic sea ice has shown impressive recent growth, with suggestions that the Greenland ice sheet might even have grown in the year to August 2022. Coral at the Great Barrier Reef is back in record amounts, while a little extra summer warmth in the Arctic has led to more food being available for all forms of life including growing numbers of seals and polar bears. The wildfire season is ending in the western United States, and it has been one of the quietest for years. If you like a little cold in your weather mix, you would have welcomed the news that in 2020-21 the South Pole recorded its coldest six month winter since records began. And the latest news from Antarctica is also on the chilly side, with the South Pole and the eastern station at Vostok recording their coldest November for 35 years.