Excess deaths not “involving” Covid are almost as high as those “involving” it.
We were alerted today by a care home resident, reporting a substantial rise in resident deaths amongst those who were not moribund.
I cut my teeth on Covid mortality analysis in the care home sector way back in April 2020 but haven’t looked at it at all in the last few months so I thought I would investigate.
It turns out that this anecdotal report was an alarm that should have been investigated by the “authorities” but for some reason, has been completely ignored. Looking at your Care Quality Commission (CQC) since the data is collected by you.
Just by looking at all-cause deaths and deaths involving Covid-19 on the same chart, it is apparent that all-cause has risen since July 2021 whilst deaths “involving” Covid have remained insignificant.
However, looking at the first-order differential (the change in weekly data), we can see a strong correlation between the change in all-cause deaths and the change in deaths “involving” Covid.