The war in Ukraine may have a far greater significance than what is being portrayed in the media. The game is more complex and accommodates key players who play on sides of the conflict. The war has quickly shifted the focus from the pandemic and its aftermath. It can also act as the trigger that ultimately promotes the construction of a New International Economic Order and the implementation of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the UN Agenda 2030. This applies in the field of cyber security, where Russia and the WEF have been the key players, as well as the UN Sustainable Development Goal number 7, “Sustainable energy for all”.
The Ukraine crisis has brought to the fore my master’s thesis The Bell Tolls for Europe, which I wrote in 2007 (the year before I began my doctoral studies). The subject was political geography (or geopolitics) and was about the European Union’s great dependence on Russian energy. I described a European continent that could end up in a trap which could result in a changed geopolitical order.
If Europe continues to support the United States in future conflicts, Russia could punish a US-friendly Europe by shutting off energy supplies and causing serious supply problems. The old Western-dominated system is seriously threatened by the new energy situation. The energy and the new strong powers are instead in the east.
Russia had used this strategy on Ukraine a couple of years before.
This became especially clear in the case of Ukraine and the great power game that characterized the presidential election in 2005. When the pro-Western president Viktor Yushchenko came to power in the Orange Revolution and actively wanted to seek both EU and NATO membership, Russia responded by raising the natural gas price by 450%.
Russia using its energy prices as a weapon was the real reason for the EU to invest heavily in energy savings and renewable energy. Outwardly, however, the rational was all about saving the climate. The target set in 2007 was 20% renewable and 20% energy efficiency improvements by 2020 (the EU Renewable Energy Directive, which was hammered out in December 2008, had this as a goal).
In 2018, the target was raised to 32% renewable by 2030 and 32.5% energy efficiency. In 2019, this became part of the EU’s Green Deal, with the goal of achieving carbon dioxide neutrality by the year 2050.
The consequence, however, has been that dependence on the outside world has increased. The green investments have not given any real independence and the closure of nuclear and coal power plants has only worsened the situation. In order to produce renewable energy in larger quantities, an underlying fossil fuel system (oil, natural gas or coal) is required. Wind and solar power require regulating power. This has led to more than 60% of energy being imported into the EU today.